The Pandemic Crisis and the Policy Reaction

The Pandemic Crisis and the Policy Reaction

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The PCE-CPI Gap and the Outlook for Further Fed Tightening

On balance, I don’t believe that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates last week. However, I must confess that there was one reference in Chairman Warsh’s press conference that left me distinctly uneasy. He noted that year-over-year inflation rates, as measured by ...  Show more

The Fed Paints itself into a Rate-Hiking Corner

In the Broadway musical, Fiddler on the Roof, Tevye, the well-meaning patriarch of a poor family, has to make some tough choices in a complicated time. Tevye, (who always reminded me of my father-in-law, Bill), has trouble deciding and three times during the play the music comes ...  Show more

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