The Hiking Cycle Is Over

In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them? 

Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment? 

Follow On The Margin On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/46mn1n3 Follow On The Margin On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3UsnTiM Follow Blockworks Macro On YouTube: https://bit.ly/3NKpujX __ This episode is taken from the weekly roundup edition of the On The Margin podcast hosted by Mi ...  Show more

Guy and Dan and Danny discuss what to expect from economic data this week (3:30), big banks kicking off earnings season (12:20), strategists split on stocks (17:00), and Meta’s Threads coming for Twitter (24:00). ---- See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/ontheta ...  Show more

Following a strong start to the week, markets took a step back yesterday as investors continued to digest the implications of the US election outcome. With key events on the horizon – including a slew of earnings reports and the release of US inflation data later today – trade ...

On todays episode, Bob Elliott CIO at Unlimited Funds & Mike Green Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management join the show for a discussion on the late cycle slowdown coming throughout the end of 2023 & into 2024.We discuss the impact of passive investing & to what degree ear ...  Show more