Is Polling a Science or an Art?

Kevin Kiley is a California Republican who has a few notes for his party’s leadership in the House of Representatives. He also may have been drawn out of his job with the new district lines California voters passed last month at Gov. Gavin Newsom’s urging. Rep. Kiley joins David ...  Show more

Donald Trump reversed course on the Epstein files to get right with his party in what proved to be a rare crack in the strong bond the president has with his MAGA base. In addition to the Epstein matter, President Trump has come in for some criticism from supporters over his mess ...  Show more

<span style="background-color: transparent; color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">As Election Day looms, we’re seeing more and more headlines based on poll results. Some declare Trump and Harris </span><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/19/polling-harris-trump-pennsylvan ...

How will the trial of Donald Trump affect voters? There’s been a lot of partisan messaging from all sides about the numbers and what – if any effect – that’s going to have in November. How do we make sense of all of this? CNN polling and analytics editor Ariel Edwards-Levy joins ...  Show more

Is Donald Trump up big? Down big? Basically tied? The answer depends on which polls you believe — or maybe you shouldn't believe any of them. Rich Baris joins Charlie to talk about the latest polling, and goes through which which VP picks would take him closer to victory and whic ...  Show more

Nate Cohn, an expert on polling for The New York Times, knows that the predictions for the 2016 presidential election were bad.

But this year, he says, they were even worse.

So, what happened?

Nate talks us through a few of his theories and considers whether, ...