“Desperate Struggles” in the Job Market

Lowe’s had some more bad news about the American consumer. CEO Marvin Ellison said “This has been the most difficult housing market that I have faced in this business since the financial crisis.” Lowe’s is hardly alone. Walmart said higher income shoppers are still trading down w ...  Show more

Treasury yields have finally made a sizable move upward. The 2-year Treasury has pushed to new multi-month highs. The 10-year got as high as 4.70%. And instantly, the usual question shows up:Is the bond market finally repricing real inflation risk? Or is this another hurricane wa ...  Show more

Paltry job creation was the headline item in the latest jobs report. But dig a little deeper, and warning signs show up all over: long-term unemployment, Black unemployment and Hispanic unemployment all rose in August. In this episode, why those stats could be proverbial canaries ...  Show more

Today’s jobs report featured a shockingly small number of new hires with just around 12,000 jobs added. However, as FHN Financial’s Christopher Low explains, these dismal figures have more to do with recent extreme weather events and the ongoing strike at Boeing. Plus, we look at ...  Show more

Uber stock rose 18% last week despite an earnings report soaked in blood. Match’s earnings reveal how Tinder has fallen behind, but it’s trying to make it up to everyone with video chat and trivia. And the worst monthly jobs report ever has us comparing what’s happening in the ac ...  Show more

Steven Bell has seen the macro machine from every angle - Treasury insider, hedge fund manager, and chief economist. In this wide-ranging conversation with Alan Dunne, he traces the quiet erosion of economic orthodoxy and why AI, not tariffs, may prove the more destabilizing forc ...  Show more