“Desperate Struggles” in the Job Market

Interest rates in China’s bond market are aggressively declining, more at the short-term maturities. It’s a classic bond bull case, which means it isn’t bullish. The question is where this is coming from. Inside the country or outside? As if that wasn’t the only big signal, the C ...  Show more

Banks are taking more steps to distance themselves from the growing private credit bust. They’re revaluing private credit assets that have been pledged to them as security for financing banks have provided to these shadow banks. I told you when JPM did it a month ago there would ...  Show more

Paltry job creation was the headline item in the latest jobs report. But dig a little deeper, and warning signs show up all over: long-term unemployment, Black unemployment and Hispanic unemployment all rose in August. In this episode, why those stats could be proverbial canaries ...  Show more

Today’s jobs report featured a shockingly small number of new hires with just around 12,000 jobs added. However, as FHN Financial’s Christopher Low explains, these dismal figures have more to do with recent extreme weather events and the ongoing strike at Boeing. Plus, we look at ...  Show more

Uber stock rose 18% last week despite an earnings report soaked in blood. Match’s earnings reveal how Tinder has fallen behind, but it’s trying to make it up to everyone with video chat and trivia. And the worst monthly jobs report ever has us comparing what’s happening in the ac ...  Show more

Steven Bell has seen the macro machine from every angle - Treasury insider, hedge fund manager, and chief economist. In this wide-ranging conversation with Alan Dunne, he traces the quiet erosion of economic orthodoxy and why AI, not tariffs, may prove the more destabilizing forc ...  Show more