The Slowdown Scenario

On balance, I don’t believe that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates last week. However, I must confess that there was one reference in Chairman Warsh’s press conference that left me distinctly uneasy. He noted that year-over-year inflation rates, as measured by ...  عرض المزيد

In the Broadway musical, Fiddler on the Roof, Tevye, the well-meaning patriarch of a poor family, has to make some tough choices in a complicated time. Tevye, (who always reminded me of my father-in-law, Bill), has trouble deciding and three times during the play the music comes ...  عرض المزيد

Given recent signs of slowing in a previously strong economy, investors may want to look to history before wishing for weaker growth.

----- Transcript -----

Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Assets Strategist for Morgan St ...

Paul Gruenwald, chief economist for S&P Global Ratings, says that the economy must land but the question is 'Can it land in a reasonably smooth way or do we have a sharp correction downward' that triggers a recession. Gruenwald says the Federal Reserve has been surprising the mar ...  عرض المزيد

The latest U.S. jobs numbers appear to be at odds with other indicators in the economy. While recession remains the most likely scenario for many countries, could there still be a chance for a soft landing? This episode, Chief Economist Eric Lascelles, gets into the latest econom ...  عرض المزيد

A rallying stock market and better-than-expected second-quarter economic growth are just the latest developments pointing Wall Street skeptics to the possibility of a US “soft landing.” That’s where the Federal Reserve gets inflation back down to around 2% without triggering a do ...  عرض المزيد