Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of Election Betting

Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of...

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Anthropic, the Pentagon, and the Future of Autonomous Weapons

The last big story right before the war in Iran started was the collapse in the relationship between the Pentagon and Anthropic, with the latter objecting to any potential use of its models in either fully autonomous weapons or domestic surveillance. Of course, this story immedia ...  عرض المزيد

Now There's a Helium Shortage and It Affects More Than Balloons

Ripple effects from the war in Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz continue to widen. There's yet another brewing shortage, this time in helium. While most people associate helium with balloons and funny voices, the element is used in a surprisingly wide variety of indus ...  عرض المزيد

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US election betting is on a roll
Behind the Money

On November 5, voters in the US will head to the polls to decide who should be the next president: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris. But over the past several months, people from around the world have been placing millions of dollars on who will win that race. As interest in bett ...

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What do bond markets know about the election?
Unhedged

As betting markets and polls begin tentatively to suggest a Donald Trump election win, yields in 10-year Treasuries have risen. Some on Wall Street think that is because traders believe Trump will win, bringing with him inflationary spending and policies. Today on the show, Ro ...

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Forecasting the Future with Kalshi: America’s First Regulated Prediction Market
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups

In this week’s episode of No Priors, Sarah sits down with Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi—the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the U.S. They dive into Kalshi’s recent victory to legalize election betting, explore ethical questions around trading on elections, and d ...  عرض المزيد

How to trade the UK election: Panmure Liberum’s Joachim Klement and Wind Shift Capital’s Bill Blain
In the market for more

The 2024 UK general election has been anything but boring, with PM Rishi Sunak soaked to the skin, to alleged betting scams and Nigel Farage, back from the political dead. So, with just days to go until voters head to the polls, IG’s Angeline Ong caught up with Panmure Liberum ...

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