Unemployment Will Drive Interest Rates Lower

Today we're looking at New York City, and specifically at the combined impact of two policies associated with Mayor Mamdani's housing agenda, a rent freeze on rent-stabilized apartments and a proposed 9.5% increase in property taxes.Now separately, each of these policies is a pol ...  Show more

As part of my ongoing research for the podcast, I’ve been using AI to help streamline information gathering. That, in itself, is not too controversial. If you’re tracking multiple markets, multiple asset classes, and multiple sources of institutional research, there’s nothing unr ...  Show more

Mortgage rates aren’t directly influenced by Federal Reserve policy. However, the Fed’s recent cut likely will have a domino effect on the US housing market, say our Co-Heads of Securitized Products Research Jay Bacow and James Egan.

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Pending home sales rose in August, boosted by a slight drop in mortgage rates. Overall, though, the market remains sluggish — owners don't want to give up their locked-in low rates and buyers are waiting to see if rates and other costs will cool. Also in this episode: Banks respo ...  Show more

Looking for a concise overview of the economy and housing markets across North America? This week, Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda & Advisor to the White House (yes, that White House), sits down with Matt & Adam to discuss the US housing market, the Vancouver real estate marke ...  Show more

In January of 2023, a time where extreme pessimism on stocks and the economy reigned, Sam Burns, founder of Mill Street Research, shared his bullish outlook on equities with Jack. Now that his prediction has come true, Sam returns to Forward Guidance to explain why he is much les ...  Show more