Market-Moving US Economic Data Is Under Threat

Market-Moving US Economic Data Is Under Threa...

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Can We Trust Election Prediction Markets?

With the US midterms fast approaching, voters and the media are increasingly looking to a new forecasting tool: prediction markets. The leading platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, have been touted as a truth serum for political forecasting — arenas for mass betting that reveal what ...  Show more

How India’s Cockroach Party Became a Political Force

Weeks of student-led protests forced the resignation of India’s education minister, in a rare public setback for Prime Minister Narendra Modi. On today’s Big Take Asia podcast, guest host Rebecca Choong Wilkins and Bloomberg reporter Atul Dev discuss how India’s cockroach movemen ...  Show more

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Some of America's Most Important Economic Data Is Decaying
Odd Lots

Gathering official economic data is a huge process in the best of times. But a bunch of different things have now combined to make that process even harder. People aren't responding to surveys like they used to. Survey responses have also become a lot more divided along political ...  Show more

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Payrolls without precision'
UBS On-Air: Market Moves

US August employment data is due. Falling survey response rates, rising complexity, and less funding for data collection have caused data quality to deteriorate. A range of indicators signal a weaker labor market, without causing middle-income US consumers to weaken much. Federal ...  Show more

What Happens When US Economic Data Can’t Be Trusted?
Trumponomics

With President Donald Trump firing independent regulators and killing off advisory committees, David Wilcox, director of US economic research for Bloomberg Economics, and editor Molly Smith discuss why data on the world's largest economy may be next.See omnystudio.com/listener fo ...  Show more

The 'Uncertainty' Economy
CNN This Morning

“It feels like the economy is gagging on the uncertainty." That's what Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told CNN’s Kate Bolduan earlier this week, referring to not just tariffs but taxes, immigration and federal budget cuts. And we're about to get a brand new rea ...  Show more