Trump sparks tariff confusion, dollar gains; ...

Send us Fan MailAttacks near Hormuz raise geopolitical risk and ceasefire concerns. Oil spikes toward $100 on supply fears, lifting inflation expectations. Fed rate cut bets pull back, boosting the US dollar. Stocks gain, Nasdaq hits a record, gold steady but vulnerable.Risk Warn ...  Show more

Send us Fan MailTrump extends ceasefire indefinitely despite Iran cancelling talks. But with Hormuz Strait remaining shut, oil prices dip only modestly. Dollar steady after Warsh hearing, gold edges higher. Pound marginally firmer on slightly hot inflation data.Risk Warning: Our ...  Show more

Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ...  Show more

This week, we discuss the biggest risks to the economy, whether Mag7 is a bubble, surprisingly strong consumer data, the increasingly noisy housing and labor markets, risks around Fed policy and dollar liquidity, and why gold has been a cleaner macro hedge than Bitcoin. Enjoy! — ...  Show more

August saw strong gains in global equities, particularly in the Dow Jones, as well as indices in both China, and Japan. Gold has hit a four-month high nearing USD 3,500 per ounce this morning, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence and uncertainty around US ta ...  Show more

Global equities rebounded midweek, driven by a sharp rally in European luxury stocks and strong earnings from major US banks. US-China trade tensions remain in focus, with Treasury Secretary Bessent reaffirming a firm stance. The AI theme continues to dominate headlines, supporte ...  Show more