The Signal and The Noise - Nate Silver

How to have difficult conversations, for meaningful change.We break down Gina Martin's book addressing how to navigate some of the worst conversation-stoppers and poor thinking in our culture today.It also features chapters from other widely recognized speakers on the topics of e ...  Show more

A philosophical discussion on part 2 of the Three-Body Problem series, The Dark Forest by Liu Cixin.We ponder different answers to Fermi's paradox and how we'd deal with different levels of intelligence in the Universe. This of course requires pondering how different levels of in ...  Show more

Data scientist Nate Silver gained attention for his election predictions. But even the best prognosticators get it wrong sometimes. He talks to Steve about making good decisions with data, why he’d rather write a newsletter than an academic paper, and how online poker led him ...

In his third appearance on Conversations with Tyler, Nate Silver looks back at past predictions, weighs how academic ideas such as expected utility theory fare in practice, and examines the world of sports through the lens of risk and prediction. Tyler and Nate dive into expected ...  Show more

In this episode, Clay explores the book Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke, a guide to making better decisions under uncertainty. Drawing from her career as a professional poker player, Annie shares how to separate decision quality from outcomes and avoid the trap of “resulting.” Cla ...  Show more

You may know Nate Silver as an election forecaster. But he’s a poker player as well. And his experiences operating in a world of competition and risk led him to explore what his fellow gamblers, as well as hedge fund managers, venture capitalists, and many other kinds of maverick ...  Show more