Will tariffs lead to a recession?

US IPO issuance has surged to a record high in 2026. But this resurgence raises two concerns for the equity market: whether it is flashing a late-cycle warning sign and whether the market can digest so much new issuance. Jay Ritter of The IPO Initiative and Owen Lamont of Acadian ...  Show more

As a newly installed chairman takes the helm of the Federal Reserve, US monetary policy remains uncertain amid a soft inflation print and escalating tensions in the Middle East. David Mericle, chief US economist in Goldman Sachs Research, forecasts the Fed to keep interest rates ...  Show more

US President Donald Trump’s tariffs caused a global market sell-off on Thursday. Now, there are concerns that these levies will push the US into a recession. We speak to the FT’s senior markets correspondent Ian Smith and our economics editor Sam Fleming about the repercussion ...

Almost a month since ‘liberation day’, the potential impacts of President Donald Trump’s tariff regime are starting to sink in. US hard data isn’t yet showing much negative impact from changes to US trade policy – but economists are gloomy on US growth prospects. The IMF last wee ...  Show more

US President Donald Trump’s tariff strategy is reshaping trade, diplomacy, and the American economy. The levies have sparked turmoil in financial markets, but are already bringing in billions of dollars in revenue for the US Treasury. So far, the global economy has held up better ...  Show more

Shanella Rajanayagam, Fred Neumann and Daragh Maher assess the sweeping new tariffs announced by the Trump administration and what they mean for the economic and FX outlook.

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