Will tariffs lead to a recession?

Private markets have stalled since interest rates started to rise in 2022, even as public markets have climbed to new highs. But a period of sustained economic growth along with rising liquidity and AI-driven innovation could help private markets rebound, according to Goldman Sac ...  Show more

The economics of artificial intelligence are more questionable today than two years ago, says Goldman Sachs Research's Jim Covello, as enterprise buyers, model companies, and hyperscalers have yet to show returns on their spend. In a conversation with Alison Nathan and George Lee ...  Show more

It's been a time of tumult on Wall Street – at the hands of the White House.

US President Donald Trump made his plans for tariffs known on the campaign trail, but their scale has taken the world by surprise.

The sweeping tariffs sent global markets into chaos. Th ...

Almost a month since ‘liberation day’, the potential impacts of President Donald Trump’s tariff regime are starting to sink in. US hard data isn’t yet showing much negative impact from changes to US trade policy – but economists are gloomy on US growth prospects. The IMF last wee ...  Show more

Our Global Head of Fixed Income and Thematic Research explains why President-elect Trump’s proposed tariff plans may look different than the policies that are ultimately put in place.

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Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I ...

While investors may now better understand President Trump’s trade strategy, the economic consequences of tariffs remain unclear. Our Global Head of Fixed Income Research and Public Policy Michael Zezas and our Chief U.S. Economist Michael Gapen offer guidance on the data they ...