The Rise of Prediction Markets

The Rise of Prediction Markets

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The Man Who Survived 47 Days on a Raft Has a Lesson for Every Investor

Every market downturn will test you. Not your strategy, not your portfolio — you. And the investors who come out the other side aren't the ones who had the best picks going in. They're the ones who learned how to take a hit, stay in the game, and get smarter because of it. Motley ...  Show more

Declare Your Financial Independence!

It’s the first Saturday of the month, which means it’s time for the next installment of our 2026 Financial Planning Challenge. Since it’s July 4th, we thought it fitting that this month we focus on financial independence – in other words, retirement. How do you know if your retir ...  Show more

Recommended Episodes

Forecasting the Future with Kalshi: America’s First Regulated Prediction Market
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups

In this week’s episode of No Priors, Sarah sits down with Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi—the first CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange in the U.S. They dive into Kalshi’s recent victory to legalize election betting, explore ethical questions around trading on elections, and d ...  Show more

First Time Founders with Ed Elson – How Kalshi Made it Legal to Bet on this Election
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

Ed speaks with Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, a regulated exchange and prediction market that lets you trade on future events. They discuss Kalshi’s fight to legalize betting on the election, how to deal with negative press, and his prediction for the outcome of the ...  Show more

The Original Prediction Market Was Betting on the Pope
Odd Lots

Prediction markets are everywhere nowadays. You can go online and bet on political outcomes, or the weather, or how long Taylor Swift will stay together with Travis Kelce. But prediction markets have a long history, and one of the earliest involved betting on who would be the ...

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Why prediction markets are going mainstream with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour
Equity

Kalshi is the largest prediction market in America, building a unique trading economy around political, sports, and cultural events. While some states view it as an illegal operation requiring gambling licenses, others—including certain courts and members of the Trump administrat ...  Show more