How strong is the economy?

How strong is the economy?

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PREVIEW: The Friday Edition. - I was wrong about DOGE.

A full accounting of the initiative’s impact.Back in 2024, when the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) was first proposed, its goals were clear.Elon Musk said he’d attempt to cut $2 trillion from the federal budget. Like many Americans (including me) who are concerned abo ...  Show more

Trump’s vaccine executive order.

On Monday, August 10, President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing the federal government to make changes to its recommended childhood vaccine schedule. In remarks at the White House signing event, the president also suggested that a link may exist between the numbe ...  Show more

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Fed independence in the spotlight as markets await key inflation gauge
Moving Markets

Yesterday saw a flurry of economic data releases, accompanied by significant political developments. The US economy demonstrated stronger-than-expected resilience in the second quarter, expanding at a revised annualised rate of 3.3%, while recent labour market figures suggest a s ...  Show more

Markets rattle as data surprises and tariffs return
Moving Markets

Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ...  Show more

The 'Uncertainty' Economy
CNN This Morning

“It feels like the economy is gagging on the uncertainty." That's what Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told CNN’s Kate Bolduan earlier this week, referring to not just tariffs but taxes, immigration and federal budget cuts. And we're about to get a brand new rea ...  Show more

Is it glass half-full or half-empty for US banks?
FT News Briefing

US tariff exemptions on personal electronics may only be temporary, and big banks posted major earnings on Friday despite some economic headwinds. Plus, the European Union and the UK are getting closer to signing a defense pact, and the Trump Administration's pressure on universi ...  Show more