Global Rates: Monthly Inflation Outlook

The war in the Middle East is reaching its three-week mark and commodities markets show no signs of easing. On the contrary, attacks on critical energy infrastructure have ramped up, while the remaining 3% of typical Hormuz traffic has shifted into Iranian waters. Elsewhere, Asia ...  Show more

This week, our Global FX Strategists unpack the ongoing spillover of the US-Iran conflict through to the dollar, as well as this week’s hawkish central bank meetings and whether hikes are straightforwardly positive for currencies. Speakers Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Arinda ...  Show more

The combination of resurgent consumer spending and persistently sticky inflation near 3% is challenging consensus calls for Goldilocks. Next week’s flash PMIs will be the first data prints post US election, and we will be closely watching the vibe expressed ...

The JPMorgan conference delivered a consensus around a Goldilocks macro scenario even as participants say US election outcomes look like a coin-toss. The risks of a blue versus red wave, and versus divided government lead to varied outcomes on growth, inflation, and the Fed. A ...

In this episode we hear from Ralph Sueppel, Managing Director at Macrosynergy, a London-based macroeconomic research and technology company that co-developed the J.P. Morgan Macrosynergy Quantamental System (“JPMaQS”): a data and analytics  product harnessing macroeconomic qua ...

US earnings season got started with some strong results from big banks, but markets have also been focused on emerging risks for some regional banks, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “There have been two big delinquencies in recent d ...  Show more