EM Sovereign External Repayment Risks: Stayin...

On Saturday, February 28, Israel and the US started a wave of attacks on Iran, rocking the energy markets. As of Thursday, commercial traffic through the crucial Strait of Hormuz remained virtually nonexistent and production shut-ins are looming for the Gulf. We explain the impor ...  Show more

We discuss the top down dollar/ FX view following developments in Iran and outline the best escalation and recovery candidates in DM and EM. Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy James Nelligan, Global FX Strategy Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Arindam Sandilya, Global FX ...  Show more

The combination of resurgent consumer spending and persistently sticky inflation near 3% is challenging consensus calls for Goldilocks. Next week’s flash PMIs will be the first data prints post US election, and we will be closely watching the vibe expressed ...

The JPMorgan conference delivered a consensus around a Goldilocks macro scenario even as participants say US election outcomes look like a coin-toss. The risks of a blue versus red wave, and versus divided government lead to varied outcomes on growth, inflation, and the Fed. A ...

In this episode we hear from Ralph Sueppel, Managing Director at Macrosynergy, a London-based macroeconomic research and technology company that co-developed the J.P. Morgan Macrosynergy Quantamental System (“JPMaQS”): a data and analytics  product harnessing macroeconomic qua ...

US earnings season got started with some strong results from big banks, but markets have also been focused on emerging risks for some regional banks, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “There have been two big delinquencies in recent d ...  Show more