Global Rates: Trick or Treating with Central ...

Arindam Sandilya, Junya Tanase, James Nelligan and Patrick Locke stress test the cyclically constructive, dollar bearish baseline narrative in light of ongoing volatility in US equities, industrial commodities and geopolitical ructions. This podcast was recorded on 20 February 20 ...  Show more

Last week we visited the International Energy Week in London and found the market to be rather optimistic, making a bullish case for oil. Respectfully, we disagree. We reiterate our views on resilient Russian supply, discuss the limited Iran risk and point to the accumulation of ...  Show more

The combination of resurgent consumer spending and persistently sticky inflation near 3% is challenging consensus calls for Goldilocks. Next week’s flash PMIs will be the first data prints post US election, and we will be closely watching the vibe expressed ...

The JPMorgan conference delivered a consensus around a Goldilocks macro scenario even as participants say US election outcomes look like a coin-toss. The risks of a blue versus red wave, and versus divided government lead to varied outcomes on growth, inflation, and the Fed. A ...

In this episode we hear from Ralph Sueppel, Managing Director at Macrosynergy, a London-based macroeconomic research and technology company that co-developed the J.P. Morgan Macrosynergy Quantamental System (“JPMaQS”): a data and analytics  product harnessing macroeconomic qua ...

US earnings season got started with some strong results from big banks, but markets have also been focused on emerging risks for some regional banks, says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas. “There have been two big delinquencies in recent d ...  Show more