The New Fed vs The Good Old Bond Market

Alf and Brent reflect on correlations converging to 1 across asset classes, risk management practices in macro deleveraging events, and a game theory approach to how the war could unfold from here. 

Alf and Brent discuss the terms of trade shock that the de-facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is causing. The duo walk through scenarios and probabilities and what framework can be used to trade such a market environment, 

The first <a href="https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2024/09/18/why-the-federal-reserve-has-gambled-on-a-big-interest-rate-cut?utm_campaign=a.io&utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&utm_source=theintelligence&utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_arti ...

Declines in the U.S Dollar and Crude Oil taking hold of the market this week, as geopolitical tensions heat up. How the latest tariff headlines are hitting currencies and commodities, and the impact it has on the broader market. Plus Markets in need of a China reality check? W ...

The first reduction in interest rates for four years shows America’s Federal Reserve thinks inflation is now in check. But does the central bank’s decision suggest it is now concerned about the labour market? Ukraine wants its allies to provide long-range missiles (9:50). Our cor ...  Show more

Here we are, the last day and the last trading day of the year. It’s now been about two years that ChatGPT was launched and it’s been two years that the AI buzz pushed some US Big Tech companies to ... the sky, really. The consensus is that 2025 should be a good year, that the e ...  Show more