How Will It End?

How Will It End?

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The Latest News and the Economic Outlook

Evening newspapers, like vinyl records and rotary phones, are fading relics, all victims of the smartphones into which humanity is gradually burying its consciousness. But once, they were a vibrant part of daily life. Growing up in Dublin in the 1970s and 1980s, there were two ev ...  Show more

The Receding Tariff Tide

A year ago this week, the President announced what he described as “reciprocal tariffs” on goods imported from all major U.S. trading partners. These tariffs, which were much broader and higher than expected, led to an immediate and sharp decline in stock prices. 

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Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG. New paper published by Hudson Bay Capital, written by Nouriel Roubini & Stephen Miran, “ATI: Activist Treasury Issuance and the Tug-of-War Over Mon ...  Show more

What’s driving rent inflation?
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While inflation has eased in recent months, rent costs are still running above pre-pandemic norms. What’s driving the strength in rental markets, and what are the implications for inflation going forward? Join Phoebe White, Head of U.S. Inflation Strategy, and Antho ...

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Inflation and the Profit-Price Spiral
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Economists say that inflation is just too much money chasing too few goods.But something else can make inflation stick around.If you think of the 1970s, the last time the U.S. had really high sustained inflation, a big concern was rising wages. Prices for goods and services were ...  Show more

Dollar Dilemmas & Central Banks Gone Wild: The Best Of The Breakdown April/May 2020
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Highlights from some of the most interesting conversations on The Breakdown from the last two months.  4/1 - Peter Zeihan on why the world we’ve known for 30 years is changing forever 4/6 - Emerson Spartz on a moment of punctuated equilibrium  4/17 - Jared Dillian on the ...  Show more