Markets await US-Iran talks and Warsh testimo...

Send us Fan MailTrump extends ceasefire indefinitely despite Iran cancelling talks. But with Hormuz Strait remaining shut, oil prices dip only modestly. Dollar steady after Warsh hearing, gold edges higher. Pound marginally firmer on slightly hot inflation data.Risk Warning: Our ...  Show more

Send us Fan MailGeopolitical risks remain elevated, with US-Iran talks and the ceasefire in focus. Markets reassess Friday’s exuberance as the Strait of Hormuz closes again. Dollar strengthens, oil rises, but moves are relatively measured; gold struggles again. Attention shifts t ...  Show more

Mark Cabana, head of US Rates Strategy at BofA Global Research, joins Forward Guidance to share insights on today’s very strange bond market. Cabana, a former officer at the Markets Group at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, explains his bullish case for the 10-year U.S. Trea ...  Show more

August saw strong gains in global equities, particularly in the Dow Jones, as well as indices in both China, and Japan. Gold has hit a four-month high nearing USD 3,500 per ounce this morning, driven by concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence and uncertainty around US ta ...  Show more

Markets hit some rough patches yesterday, with all major European indices closing lower, followed by similar losses across the three main US benchmarks. Revised US data revealed an upward adjustment to second-quarter GDP, while jobless claims came in below expectations. This prom ...  Show more

This week, we discuss the biggest risks to the economy, whether Mag7 is a bubble, surprisingly strong consumer data, the increasingly noisy housing and labor markets, risks around Fed policy and dollar liquidity, and why gold has been a cleaner macro hedge than Bitcoin. Enjoy! — ...  Show more