Institutions Want Out… But Private Credit Won...

Did a recession strike the US economy starting in October? Not just the forgot how to grow kind we’ve been grappling with for the last several years, but the all-out, NBER-style, full-blown contraction. Take a look at the data and the charts in this video, let’s see what you thin ...  Show more

Canada just “unexpectedly” fell into a technical recession. But the important part is not just that Canada contracted. The important part is that Canada’s contraction is lining up with the same weakness now spreading through France, the UK, Germany, Sweden, Mexico, and increasing ...  Show more

This week was a busy one and some of the most interesting things that happened came out of Europe, where policymakers announced up to €800 billion of additional defense spending and an easing of Germany's stringent debt rules. All of this comes as Europe responds to tariff threat ...  Show more

Global markets are awaiting the US employment report, which could influence the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on 18 December. European stocks rose despite political turmoil in France. Asian markets were mixed, with Chinese stocks rising ahead of a key policy meet ...

Watch Carol and Tim LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Wall Street’s bets that the largest shutdown in US history is soon coming to an end drove a rebound in stocks, spurring optimism that access to official economic data will shed light on the Federal Reserve outlo ...  Show more

This week we discuss the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision, the path to the neutral rate, and why the Fed should front-load its rate cuts. Darius and Felix also delve into why the recessionistas are wrong about the labor market, the fiscal impulse, the impact of t ...  Show more