A Season of Moderation in the Year of Boom and Doom

A Season of Moderation in the Year of Boom an...

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Haunted Housing: The Outlook for Residential Real Estate

The housing market is haunted. It’s haunted by the legacy of too-easy monetary policy for well over a decade which allowed prices to vault higher in the post-pandemic boom. It’s haunted by tariffs and immigration policies that are simultaneously raising the cost of home-building ...  Show more

The PCE-CPI Gap and the Outlook for Further Fed Tightening

On balance, I don’t believe that the Federal Reserve should have raised interest rates last week. However, I must confess that there was one reference in Chairman Warsh’s press conference that left me distinctly uneasy. He noted that year-over-year inflation rates, as measured by ...  Show more

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