I've Never Seen Anything Like This… Until Now

I've Never Seen Anything Like This… Until Now

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Gas Stations Just Confirmed the Worst-Case Scenario for the Economy

It's volumes, not dollars. How much product is actually being moved or not. What convenience stores are reporting isn't just more evidence for what the Census Bureau finally figure out in the wake of the massive retail sales downgrade. The energy shock is really dragging on Ameri ...  Show more

You Won't Believe What Just Happened in the Bond Market

Everyone is talking about rate hikes and hot inflation.Yesterday’s CPI was supposedly another reason to sell Treasuries. Today’s PPI was supposed to confirm it. Yields initially surged, commentators dusted off the usual higher-for-longer clichés, and the Federal Reserve’s imagine ...  Show more

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This week, we discuss all the growing list of weaker labor market data after August NFP showed just 22K jobs added. We also debate whether the Fed will have room to cut 50bps in September while stagflation rears its head, the potential implications if tariffs are overturned, and ...  Show more

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