Why Did The Polls Get it Wrong (Or Did They)?

Why Did The Polls Get it Wrong (Or Did They)?

Up next

Is the 2026 World Cup an own goal?

The 2026 men’s football World Cup will be the biggest ever staged. For the first time, 48 teams will compete, playing more than 100 matches across North America.But the expanded scale comes at a cost. Ticket prices are far higher than at the last World Cup in Qatar. With matches ...  Show more

Why are our taps running dry?

Chennai, São Paulo, Mexico City, Tehran, Cape Town - these cities have all faced the threat of a ‘Zero Day’, or, having no fresh water left in their taps. The UN says we’re entering a ‘water bankruptcy’ era, meaning our water ‘current accounts’ are running empty, while our ‘savin ...  Show more

Recommended Episodes

About Those Polls…
The Daily

Nate Cohn, an expert on polling for The New York Times, knows that the predictions for the 2016 presidential election were bad.

But this year, he says, they were even worse.

So, what happened?

Nate talks us through a few of his theories and considers whether, ...

  Show more

293 TMD Why Were the 2016 U.S. Presidential Polls Wrong?
The Math Dude Quick and Dirty Tips to Make Math Easier

The 2016 U.S. presidential election is over. And if you'd been following the polls, the results might have been surprising. What went wrong with those polls? It has to do with statistical and systematic uncertainties. Read the full transcript here: http://bit.ly/2gnNRpX 

AMERICA HAS A (POLLING) PROBLEM
Explain It to Me

Pollsters are starting to panic. There’s headline after headline after headline ahead of the midterms on whether this election cycle’s polling is accurate or not. How does polling actually work? Is it really representative of how voters are feeling and what the outcome will be on ...  Show more

The Voters Trump Is Losing
The Daily

This fall’s presidential race is likely to be decided by a handful of battleground states won by President Trump in 2016. So how do voters in those states view the candidates? Guest: Nate Cohn, who covers elect ...

  Show more