Global Data Pod

Katie Marney and Nicolaie Alexandru discuss recent developments in the EM Edge economies. Optimism around a soft landing persist, which would be constructive overall for frontier markets. Disinflation along with easing global financial conditions and a weaker dollar should enable ...  Afficher plus

Nora Szentivanyi and Michael Hanson discuss the recent shipping disruptions along the Suez and Panama Canals and the implications for global supply chains and inflation. We estimate the recent surge in container shipping costs––if they persist––could add 0.7%-pts to global core g ...  Afficher plus

A strong consumer supports another solid quarterly gain in US GDP, but China imbalances are a concern and global industry continues to struggle. Central banks are acknowledging progress on disinflation but push back against 1H24 rate cuts.  Speakers: Bruce Kasman Joseph Lupton Th ...  Afficher plus

This week’s main release – the US December CPI – aligns with our forecast that core inflation is stabilizing around a 3%ar as we turn into the new year. But the Fed’s target inflation indicator – core PCE – is running close to a 2%ar, fueling optimism about early easing. We conti ...  Afficher plus

As we turn into 2024, the global economy continues to display resilience as well as sustained divergence in performance across sectors and markets. While optimism runs high that DM core inflation has slipped well below 3% and opens the door for early easing, we do not look for th ...  Afficher plus