Disruptive Forces in Investing

Disruptive Forces in Investing

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BDCs, AI Disruption, Iran Oil Shock: What Lies Beneath in Credit Markets

Credit index spreads have been largely unchanged this year — but the calm surface belies a more complex picture underneath. Rising dispersion, AI-driven disruption fears, widening BDC spreads, and the military conflict in the Middle East are reshaping the risk landscape for fixed ...  Show more

The Great Bond Divergence: Opportunities Across Curves, Countries, and Credit

Global bond markets are starting to diverge again. After years of moving in near lockstep, correlations are breaking down as political and fiscal paths split across regions. The balance for investors is pursuing income, diversification, and flexibility without making an all-or-no ...  Show more

Real Estate's Reset: Where Almanac Sees Stress and Opportunity

Real estate has gone through a painful reset—higher rates, lower values, and slower deal activity have pressured fundraising, distributions, and exit timelines. But for investors who provide flexible, platform-level capital, dislocation can create attractive entry points. Meanwhi ...  Show more

How the AI Debt Supercycle Is Reshaping Credit Markets

AI-related bond issuance is surging, reshaping the opportunity set for fixed-income investors. In addition to robust U.S. growth, constrained inflation, and an attractive opportunities beyond the U.S., investors must also navigate greater tail risks, more complex financing struct ...  Show more

Solving for 2026: Policy Crosscurrents, AI, and Where to Position Now

Amid policy crosscurrents and accelerating AI adoption, investors face a backdrop where productivity tailwinds and easing biases in some regions contrast with tougher conditions elsewhere. So how should investors lean into duration, balance AI enablers versus adopters, and pursue ...  Show more